SoapZone Community: Politics Message Board
NBC/WSJ/Marist: Obama up 6 in IA, 3 in WI, 2 in IA
|Date:|| Wed, 31-Oct-2012 9:11:09 PM PDT |
|Where:||SoapZone Community: Politics Message Board|
|In reply to:|| Wednesday politics CP posted by LM|
Obama Leads Romney in Three Swing States: NBC/WSJ Poll
President Obama narrowly leads Mitt Romney in three battleground states less than a week before the election, according to new NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls.
In Iowa, the heartland launchpad for every presidential bid, the Democratic incumbent draws 50% to 44% for his Republican challenger.
In Wisconsin, homestate of Republican vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan, Mr. Obama draws 49% to 46% for Mr. Romney.
And in New Hampshire, the lone Northeastern state Mr. Romney could win, he trails the president by 49% to 47%.
All three telephone surveys of likely voters were conducted for NBC and the Journal on Oct. 28-29 by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. The margins of error are 2.9 percentage points in Iowa, 3 percentage points in Wisconsin, and 3.1 percentage points in New Hampshire.
The three states, among the nine swing states most closely contested by both parties, were all carried by Mr. Obama four years ago. To attain the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, Mr. Romney needs to carry most of those nine on Election Day.
Mr. Romney has been counting on holding the upper hand on the economy. But in Iowa, Wisconsin and New Hamphire, Mr. Obama stands either even with Mr. Romney on that issue or within the margin for error.
Mr. Obama has been counting on his superior personal ratings. But Mr.Romney's ratings have improved during the campaign; only in Iowa among the three swing states do more voters view him negatively than positively.
And both candidates have been counting on a gender gap in their favor.
In all three states, Mr. Obama enjoys a double digit lead among women — larger than Mr. Romney's lead among men.
The IA one is a beauty EOM - CarlyisMyGH - 31-Oct-2012 9:14 PM
The WI one makes me want to pull my hair out, LOL! - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:26 PM
Well I don't think it's that close. EOM - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:28 PM
Hopefully and probably not but it's so weird seeing WI numbers being close to VA - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:45 PM
Like you've said, Scott Walker was elected - guess alot of angry whites - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:47 PM
- Well Walker wasn't as "Walkerish" when he was first elected. - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:54 PM
- Like you've said, Scott Walker was elected - guess alot of angry whites - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:47 PM
- Hopefully and probably not but it's so weird seeing WI numbers being close to VA - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:45 PM
I tend to average them together, seems like WI is +4 or even +5 EOM - CarlyisMyGH - 31-Oct-2012 9:27 PM
Oh I know. +3 +5 and +8 but still...just don't like seeing it. EOM - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:44 PM
- I am jealous of Vermont's blueness :) Wish CA was like that. EOM - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:47 PM
- Yep EOM - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:28 PM
- Oh I know. +3 +5 and +8 but still...just don't like seeing it. EOM - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:44 PM
- Well I don't think it's that close. EOM - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:28 PM
Robme can't crack Iowa and Ohio :) EOM - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:20 PM
Or VA and he can't hold onto FL. - RosannaCabot - 31-Oct-2012 9:24 PM
- Yep! I think he's gonna get every state he won except IN and NE02 EOM - LM - 31-Oct-2012 9:25 PM
- Or VA and he can't hold onto FL. - RosannaCabot - 31-Oct-2012 9:24 PM
- The WI one makes me want to pull my hair out, LOL! - K_SingingASong - 31-Oct-2012 9:26 PM
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